Former US Treasury Secretary Summers said that if President-elect Trump follows through on his promises, the United States will once again experience a severe inflation crisis. Summers pointed out that Trump's promised domestic tax cuts, higher tariffs and deportation of illegal immigrants would have a severe impact on the US economy. "If he sticks to the plan he promised during the campaign, the country will suffer a bigger inflationary crisis than it did in 2021."
Inflation could lead the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates less than expected in the coming years, according to Mr. Summers, the former Treasury secretary. "On the monetary policy front, the Fed faces the risk of higher inflation if it is to actually cut rates as much as it expects," he said. Fed policymakers' latest dot plot forecast for the median federal funds rate at the end of next year is 3.4 per cent, or 150 basis points on top of Wednesday's 50 basis point cut. Mr. Summers said that ...
Mr. Summers, the former Treasury secretary, said that while the August non-farm payrolls report was not particularly bad, it did make it harder to predict how much the Federal Reserve might cut interest rates this month. "The data, while not showing very significant weakness, certainly won't give you a sense of relief if you're concerned about recent statistical trends," Mr. Summers said in an interview.
Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Summers said that although the Federal Reserve failed to act quickly to deal with the 2021 inflation surge, setting a "low point" in its monetary policy history, it ultimately did enough to correct the economy. "I have to commend the Federal Reserve... While it's not always obvious, they acted strongly and forcefully enough to keep inflation expectations stable," Summers said. Summers said:...